AQUAQUANTA

Brent Crude 14D avg

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USD / EUR

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USD / GBP

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Model run

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Weekly arbitrage signals

Market	Spot Price	Market Price	Logistics	Net Margin	Action
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Contract timing window

Market	Current price	14D forecast	30D forecast	Change	Signal
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Supply flood detector

Producer country	Current FX rate	30D average	Change	Risk	Markets affected
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Currency hedge signals

Exporter origin	Currency	FX impact	Margin impact	Action
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Port congestion risk

Port	Congestion score	Risk level	Key routes	Note
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AI analyst brief

◆ Claude analyst

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Methodology

Market prices are derived from the IMF Global Shrimp Spot Price (FRED: PSHRIUSDM) adjusted by destination market premium multipliers calibrated from 2024 UN Comtrade import data. Logistics costs scale dynamically with the Brent Crude 14-day ensemble forecast (VAR + XGBoost). Currency adjustments use VAR-forecasted FX rates. Premiums update quarterly. This is a quantitative model — always validate signals against current broker quotes before trading.